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| 1 | 6. The two main aims of the project are to: a) Develop a modelling procedure for assessing air pollutant emissions reduction scenarios: and b) Use this procedure for assessing the pollutant reductions that could be achieved for defined future years, and the associated human health benefits, from implementing specific policy packages. 7. To achieve this aim the project should: a) Either identify an established existing modelling methodology that will deliver the aims of the project or dev6. The two main aims of the project are to: a) Develop a modelling procedure for assessing air pollutant emissions reduction scenarios: and b) Use this procedure for assessing the pollutant reductions that could be achieved for defined future years, and the associated human health benefits, from implementing specific policy packages. 7. To achieve this aim the project should: a) Either identify an established existing modelling methodology that will deliver the aims of the project or develop a bespoke methodology appropriate to the requirements. b) Undertake a testing phase to determine the utility of the chosen model and whether any modifications are required before full implementation. c) Use the finalised model to generate air pollutant emissions and concentrations scenarios for the pollutants nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter (size fractions PM10 and PM2.5) for the year 2035 and for one or more additional years up to 2045. The initial analysis will be based on currently implemented policies together with additional policies set out in the Scottish Government’s updated Climate Change Plan that are relevant to air quality. Additional analyses based on hypothetical policy packages to illustrate what could be achieved with a greater level of ambition may also be required. d) Quantify as far as is feasible within the chosen methodology the human health benefits associated with these emissions and concentrations reduction scenarios. e) Produce outputs including but not restricted to reports, maps and data analysis tools that can be used to support robust proposals for tighter air objectives in Scotland. |
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